Stillwater

01 · What the data showed us

We started with the numbers.

We studied every token that reached $20M within 7 days of launch since July (54 of them). We tracked 12 of those hour by hour, from 30 days before launch to 7 days after, and looked at 51,770 launches that paid their holders in tokenized stocks. Five things stood out.

• Fast tokens rarely last.

  Of the 54 that reached $20M in their first week, half have since lost 79% or more from their peak. Only 14 are still worth half their peak or more.

• Copies fail.

  After a token that paid holders in SpaceX shares was listed on Binance, 78 tokens copied the idea within a week. None of them closed a single day above $1M.

• Being first matters.

  When a new stock became available as a payout, the first token to use it reached $1M about 1 time in 45. After the thousandth token on the same stock, it was 1 time in 5,000.

• Paying holders works.

  The winners paid holders automatically, in something they already wanted. ZCAT paid its holders about $2.8M in ZEC in its first weeks.

• The second move decides.

  The tokens that held had an exchange listing or locked supply behind them after week one. The ones with only attention behind them are down 66% to 98%.

02 · What we built from it

Each part answers one finding.

1. The hook

   A payout asset on the day it first becomes available, not a copy of last week's idea.

2. The payout

   A small trading tax buys that asset and pays it to holders. The tax steps down and switches off for good on a set date.

3. Rewarding holders who stay

   Half of each payout lands every hour. The other half unlocks over 3 days, and anyone who sells early gives it up to the holders who stayed.

4. A public record

   One page shows what was paid, to whom and when. Anyone can check it on-chain.

5. The second move

   More liquidity, listings and a fresh catalyst, booked before launch and released in the second week.

We launch on Solana first and Robinhood Chain second, and keep a setup ready for whichever chain is busiest.

03 · The two halves of a launch

Science and art.

A launch can get the science right and still fail without the art. We have not run this half yet. It is the half we build with you.

04 · How we work together

A nucleus and an orbit.

The nucleus is a small core team. It owns the strategy, the systems and the launch decision.

The orbit is our partners: business development, marketing, collaborators and market makers. They bring projects, reach, liquidity and listings, and plug into each launch where needed.

05 · How a launch moves

Five steps.

1. Read. We study the project, the market and the timing. The answer can be “not yet”.
2. Plan. One written plan: structure, dates, liquidity, story and who does what.
3. Prepare. Liquidity set, buyers ready, story out, second move booked.
4. Launch. Trading opens, payouts start, the public record goes live.
5. Second move. Released when the data says the first wave is fading.

06 · What we ask of partners

Four things.

• Deliver on the day.Launches are timed to the hour.
• Real numbers only.No fake volume, no inflated reach, nothing we cannot check.
• One written plan.Changes are written down and shared with everyone.
• The launch decision is ours.Your advice matters. The call and the responsibility sit with us.

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